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Red344
5505156.6
4375133.9
1322140.9
Blue124
904130.4
361793.4
5989115.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304232100200400500344124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.63.4
126.9130.4
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
red by 26.3
904
#19
130.43.3
115.8119.1
Auto18.5
Teleop95.9
End16.2
Second
1322
#13
140.90.2
133.5133.3
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 25.2
5989
#32
115.77.4
93.1100.5
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Third
4375
#10
133.94.7
103.1107.8
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
red by 40.5
3617
#35
93.41.2
95.596.6
Auto11.0
Teleop78.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed