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Red186
7234114.4
857132.4
7250120.6
Blue369
5505156.6
6637143.0
5989115.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203150100400500600186369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#6
132.41.0
124.7125.6
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
blue by 24.2
156.64.6
130.4135.0
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
7250
#14
120.64.9
99.6104.5
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
blue by 22.4
143.01.9
120.5122.4
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
Third
7234
#17
114.46.0
89.595.4
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
blue by 1.3
5989
#32
115.73.7
100.5104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed