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Qual 272018 FIM District Escanaba Event
Red309
4391175.7
4715113.2
4835123.3
Blue161
5989115.7
6569111.7
3602120.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552910100200400500600309161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#2
175.75.5
144.9→150.5
Auto26.1
Teleop127.8
End21.5
red by 54.8
3602
#28
120.93.6
120.4→124.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
Second
4835
#12
123.30.8
101.8→101.1
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
red by 7.6
5989
#32
115.74.7
104.2→108.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Third
4715
#15
113.21.0
103.8→102.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.2
End9.0
red by 1.5
6569
#34
111.70.3
119.4→119.7
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed