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Red288
6581112.2
4375133.9
4835123.3
Blue278
5213111.2
7020101.2
5505156.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22927050100150200250300350400450288278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#10
133.93.0
118.4121.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
blue by 22.7
156.65.4
135.0140.4
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
4835
#12
123.32.0
101.1103.1
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
red by 12.1
5213
#39
111.21.2
108.3107.1
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
Third
6581
#27
112.21.5
96.598.0
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End15.0
red by 11.0
7020
#33
101.22.2
89.391.5
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed