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Red327
361793.4
4956135.9
4715113.2
Blue194
5072137.8
6345103.2
7020101.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232275100200300400500327194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.91.4
119.9121.3
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
blue by 2.0
5072
#18
137.82.4
128.0130.4
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
Second
4715
#15
113.21.8
102.8104.7
Auto13.9
Teleop89.2
End9.0
red by 10.0
6345
#30
103.22.1
104.8106.9
Auto15.7
Teleop75.6
End11.2
Third
3617
#35
93.40.9
93.592.6
Auto11.0
Teleop78.3
End2.4
blue by 7.8
7020
#33
101.23.3
91.594.8
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed