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Red302
482786.4
857132.4
4391175.7
Blue159
7154104.7
5989115.7
6557118.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290246100200400500302159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.73.5
161.4164.9
Auto26.1
Teleop127.8
End21.5
red by 57.1
6557
#20
118.60.7
116.7117.4
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
Second
857
#6
132.41.6
130.9132.5
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
red by 16.7
5989
#32
115.72.7
112.2114.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Third
4827
#38
86.42.2
99.597.4
Auto12.1
Teleop74.8
End-4.8
blue by 18.3
7154
#29
104.70.7
109.4108.7
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed