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Red332
5486115.1
904130.4
6088116.1
Blue176
5230129.8
5702121.6
5547126.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232309100200400500332176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#19
130.41.4
128.1129.6
Auto18.5
Teleop95.9
End16.2
red by 0.6
129.82.3
121.8124.1
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Second
6088
#26
116.10.4
108.8109.2
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 9.9
5547
#24
126.00.8
122.8123.6
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4
Third
5486
#21
115.11.0
108.8109.8
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
blue by 6.5
5702
#16
121.61.7
119.4121.1
Auto15.5
Teleop99.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed