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Red338
6557118.6
5505156.6
4835123.3
Blue244
6569111.7
4956135.9
2586140.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304279100200400500600338244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.60.9
151.1150.2
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
red by 15.9
2586
#25
140.72.1
135.0137.1
Auto13.9
Teleop105.3
End22.5
Second
4835
#12
123.34.5
110.1114.7
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
blue by 12.6
135.92.4
125.6128.0
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
Third
6557
#20
118.60.7
117.4116.7
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
red by 6.9
6569
#34
111.71.6
114.5113.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed