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Red272
7250120.6
5230129.8
6569111.7
Blue213
3602120.9
4835123.3
361793.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273261200250300350272213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.80.4
124.1124.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
red by 6.5
4835
#12
123.34.0
114.7118.7
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
Second
7250
#14
120.61.6
116.1117.6
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
blue by 0.3
3602
#28
120.90.6
121.0121.6
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
Third
6569
#34
111.70.9
113.0112.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
red by 18.3
3617
#35
93.41.5
97.195.6
Auto11.0
Teleop78.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed