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Red170
6558121.0
482786.4
6637143.0
Blue394
4970160.3
5486115.1
5505156.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133540100300400500600170394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.03.9
136.2140.1
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
blue by 17.3
160.32.6
149.5152.1
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
Second
6558
#31
121.00.5
122.0121.6
Auto15.3
Teleop90.8
End16.5
blue by 35.6
156.60.6
150.2150.8
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Third
4827
#38
86.43.4
95.491.9
Auto12.1
Teleop74.8
End-4.8
blue by 28.7
5486
#21
115.12.0
109.8111.7
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed