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Red219
5486115.1
894141.8
5072137.8
Blue381
6112151.3
5505156.6
7234114.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003200100200400500600700219381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#11
141.80.3
141.1141.4
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
blue by 14.9
156.61.3
150.8152.1
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
5072
#18
137.81.8
135.2137.0
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
blue by 13.5
151.31.8
146.3148.1
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
Third
5486
#21
115.12.2
111.7113.9
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
red by 0.7
7234
#17
114.42.3
106.8109.1
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed