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Red367
7250120.6
894141.8
4715113.2
Blue206
6558121.0
4835123.3
7234114.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296273150200250350400450367206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#11
141.80.1
141.4141.3
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
red by 18.5
4835
#12
123.31.9
121.0122.9
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
Second
7250
#14
120.60.2
119.8119.9
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
blue by 0.5
6558
#31
121.00.4
120.6120.9
Auto15.3
Teleop90.8
End16.5
Third
4715
#15
113.20.5
113.8113.2
Auto13.9
Teleop89.2
End9.0
blue by 1.1
7234
#17
114.42.1
109.1111.3
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed