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Red36
7020101.2
570696.6
5486115.1
Blue272
482786.4
7250120.6
4956135.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258247010020030040050060070080036272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5486
#21
115.112.9
88.2101.1
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
blue by 20.8
135.90.6
114.4115.1
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
Second
7020
#33
101.27.7
77.785.5
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
blue by 19.4
7250
#14
120.611.3
77.789.1
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
Third
5706
#37
96.610.9
82.793.7
Auto12.0
Teleop79.0
End6.0
red by 10.2
4827
#38
86.47.3
85.492.7
Auto12.1
Teleop74.8
End-4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed