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Red409
2337197.2
3357235.0
7248103.5
Blue314
2771191.1
3452186.5
4395150.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393349200300500600409314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
235.00.2
234.7234.8
Auto25.6
Teleop175.4
End34.2
red by 43.9
191.10.0
191.1191.1
Auto25.1
Teleop132.8
End33.5
Second
197.20.3
196.5196.8
Auto28.8
Teleop141.6
End27.5
red by 10.7
186.50.5
185.5186.0
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
Third
7248
#39
103.50.1
103.4103.5
Auto17.2
Teleop80.6
End6.6
blue by 47.4
4395
#26
150.90.2
151.3151.1
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9