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Red344
314152.8
503174.9
5162118.9
Blue296
3570132.8
107162.0
858148.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35033001,0002,0003,0004,000344296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
174.90.0
175.0174.9
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
red by 12.8
107
#8
162.00.2
161.6161.8
Auto23.6
Teleop115.4
End23.6
Second
314
#11
152.80.2
151.8152.0
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
red by 4.7
858
#18
148.10.1
148.0148.0
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
Third
5162
#24
118.90.3
120.4120.1
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
blue by 13.9
3570
#13
132.80.2
132.4132.6
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End12.8