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Red448
226183.9
661099.4
3357235.0
Blue140
5161128.0
5162118.9
4395150.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142580100200300500600448140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
235.01.2
216.8218.0
Auto25.6
Teleop175.4
End34.2
red by 84.1
4395
#26
150.90.4
144.9145.3
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9
Second
226
#16
183.91.3
179.0180.4
Auto25.6
Teleop137.5
End18.3
red by 56.0
5161
#22
128.00.3
126.8127.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
Third
6610
#21
99.40.4
88.187.7
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End5.2
blue by 19.6
5162
#24
118.90.6
124.7124.0
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed