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Red273
523197.9
4337119.9
6914126.0
Blue427
661099.4
1023193.1
6561116.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333580100200300400500273427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#17
126.01.0
108.4109.3
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
blue by 67.1
193.10.0
186.6186.6
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
Second
4337
#32
119.90.2
119.5119.7
Auto17.1
Teleop88.1
End11.1
red by 3.7
6561
#31
116.31.1
111.4112.5
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
Third
5231
#36
97.90.6
105.4104.8
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
blue by 1.4
6610
#21
99.40.2
87.787.8
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed