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Red443
226183.9
2337197.2
5162118.9
Blue274
2771191.1
6852148.0
2832155.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372377300350400450500443274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.20.9
186.2187.1
Auto28.8
Teleop141.6
End27.5
red by 6.0
191.11.4
185.4186.8
Auto25.1
Teleop132.8
End33.5
Second
226
#16
183.91.7
180.4182.0
Auto25.6
Teleop137.5
End18.3
red by 28.3
2832
#27
155.70.7
165.4166.2
Auto20.8
Teleop113.8
End20.6
Third
5162
#24
118.90.8
122.7121.8
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
blue by 29.1
148.01.2
143.7144.9
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed