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Red350
314152.8
6914126.0
3570132.8
Blue214
107162.0
5173135.5
3618144.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883720100200500600700350214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#11
152.80.5
154.6154.1
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
blue by 9.2
107
#8
162.01.5
158.0159.4
Auto23.6
Teleop115.4
End23.6
Second
3570
#13
132.81.6
125.6127.2
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End12.8
blue by 11.5
3618
#20
144.30.2
145.0145.2
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
Third
6914
#17
126.01.3
110.8112.1
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
blue by 9.5
135.51.1
140.7139.6
Auto20.9
Teleop96.9
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed