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Red194
611493.3
6561116.3
858148.1
Blue373
4381157.3
4395150.9
6089118.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573630100200300400500600194373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#18
148.11.6
145.2146.8
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
blue by 9.2
4381
#10
157.31.3
150.1151.4
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
Second
6561
#31
116.30.9
114.1115.0
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
blue by 34.7
4395
#26
150.90.3
144.9145.2
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9
Third
6114
#37
93.31.6
103.3101.7
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End2.5
blue by 25.5
6089
#38
118.80.6
119.0118.4
Auto16.3
Teleop89.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed