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Red214
707392.7
3618144.3
7160121.9
Blue311
6597103.8
4776156.4
904140.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743120100200400500600214311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#20
144.30.6
145.2144.6
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
blue by 12.1
4776
#25
156.40.4
149.1149.5
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End16.3
Second
7160
#19
121.91.8
113.0114.8
Auto17.9
Teleop93.2
End12.5
blue by 18.4
904
#14
140.30.9
130.1130.9
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
Third
7073
#30
92.71.2
96.995.7
Auto16.8
Teleop73.2
End4.6
blue by 11.0
6597
#34
103.81.6
103.7102.1
Auto11.8
Teleop80.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed