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Red252
5161128.0
503174.9
6914126.0
Blue313
3452186.5
2337197.2
910161.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222463100300400500600700800252313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
174.90.4
174.5174.9
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
blue by 22.3
197.21.7
189.6191.3
Auto28.8
Teleop141.6
End27.5
Second
5161
#22
128.00.1
126.0125.9
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
blue by 58.5
186.52.6
172.9175.5
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
Third
6914
#17
126.01.4
112.1113.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
blue by 35.2
910
#12
161.21.4
156.9158.3
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed