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Red174
5162118.9
4337119.9
707392.7
Blue415
6089118.8
858148.1
7160121.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242346100200300400500600174415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4337
#32
119.90.1
121.8121.9
Auto17.1
Teleop88.1
End11.1
blue by 28.2
858
#18
148.10.8
147.5148.4
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
Second
5162
#24
118.90.8
122.1122.9
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
blue by 3.0
7160
#19
121.91.2
114.8116.0
Auto17.9
Teleop93.2
End12.5
Third
7073
#30
92.71.2
95.794.5
Auto16.8
Teleop73.2
End4.6
blue by 26.0
6089
#38
118.80.3
118.3118.0
Auto16.3
Teleop89.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed