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Red264
438293.0
503174.9
6852148.0
Blue184
6561116.3
314152.8
2832155.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31733902004006008001,0001,200264184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
174.90.6
174.9175.5
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
red by 19.2
2832
#27
155.71.3
164.7163.4
Auto20.8
Teleop113.8
End20.6
Second
148.00.8
145.5146.3
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
blue by 4.8
314
#11
152.80.6
154.3153.7
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
Third
4382
#29
93.00.0
95.695.6
Auto15.8
Teleop68.0
End6.7
blue by 23.2
6561
#31
116.31.3
115.3116.6
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed