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Red335
107162.0
6597103.8
523197.9
Blue271
5162118.9
6089118.8
5173135.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280336100200400500600335271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#8
162.00.7
160.1160.8
Auto23.6
Teleop115.4
End23.6
red by 26.6
135.50.9
136.3135.5
Auto20.9
Teleop96.9
End19.3
Second
6597
#34
103.80.4
101.3100.8
Auto11.8
Teleop80.8
End13.5
blue by 15.2
5162
#24
118.90.1
122.9122.8
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
Third
5231
#36
97.91.4
102.5101.1
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
blue by 20.9
6089
#38
118.80.7
118.0118.6
Auto16.3
Teleop89.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed