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Red320
904140.3
314152.8
5248121.1
Blue239
226183.9
6852148.0
858148.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275389100200500600700320239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#11
152.81.3
153.7152.4
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
blue by 31.1
226
#16
183.90.2
184.3184.1
Auto25.6
Teleop137.5
End18.3
Second
904
#14
140.30.8
132.1132.9
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
blue by 7.8
858
#18
148.11.6
148.4150.0
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
Third
5248
#28
121.10.5
116.6117.1
Auto16.7
Teleop95.4
End10.4
blue by 26.9
148.00.5
146.3146.8
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed