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Red399
5173135.5
5161128.0
4967152.2
Blue249
2832155.7
5162118.9
438293.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572760100200400500600399249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#15
152.21.1
149.4150.5
Auto26.3
Teleop105.2
End19.6
blue by 3.5
2832
#27
155.71.7
161.5159.8
Auto20.8
Teleop113.8
End20.6
Second
135.50.6
135.5134.8
Auto20.9
Teleop96.9
End19.3
red by 16.5
5162
#24
118.90.0
122.8122.8
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
Third
5161
#22
128.00.1
126.5126.6
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
red by 34.9
4382
#29
93.00.2
95.795.8
Auto15.8
Teleop68.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed