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Red301
3452186.5
707392.7
5161128.0
Blue339
4381157.3
1023193.1
5248121.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483980100200300500600301339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.50.9
178.5179.4
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
blue by 6.6
193.10.7
191.4192.1
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
Second
5161
#22
128.00.2
126.6126.8
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
blue by 29.4
4381
#10
157.30.9
156.3157.2
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
Third
7073
#30
92.70.6
92.591.9
Auto16.8
Teleop73.2
End4.6
blue by 28.4
5248
#28
121.11.4
118.3119.6
Auto16.7
Teleop95.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed