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Red465
7160121.9
226183.9
7210103.3
Blue119
438293.0
4381157.3
523197.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632570100200300400500600465119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#16
183.90.0
182.9182.9
Auto25.6
Teleop137.5
End18.3
red by 26.6
4381
#10
157.30.6
157.2157.9
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
Second
7160
#19
121.90.8
119.8120.5
Auto17.9
Teleop93.2
End12.5
red by 24.0
5231
#36
97.90.6
99.899.2
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
Third
7210
#33
103.30.5
103.8103.2
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End17.1
red by 10.2
4382
#29
93.00.7
95.194.4
Auto15.8
Teleop68.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed