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Red388
707392.7
904140.3
503174.9
Blue295
6852148.0
6914126.0
7248103.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359287100200400500600388295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
174.90.5
175.2174.7
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
red by 26.9
148.00.7
146.4147.0
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Second
904
#14
140.31.9
136.0137.9
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
red by 14.4
6914
#17
126.02.2
119.4121.6
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
Third
7073
#30
92.70.1
91.992.0
Auto16.8
Teleop73.2
End4.6
blue by 10.8
7248
#39
103.51.4
105.6104.2
Auto17.2
Teleop80.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed