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Red451
2337197.2
3357235.0
7248103.5
Blue65
910161.2
1023193.1
5161128.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39630410020050060070080045165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
235.00.1
234.4234.5
Auto25.6
Teleop175.4
End34.2
red by 41.9
193.10.2
193.0193.1
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
Second
197.20.3
196.0196.2
Auto28.8
Teleop141.6
End27.5
red by 36.0
910
#12
161.20.2
161.1161.3
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
Third
7248
#39
103.50.0
103.3103.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.6
End6.6
blue by 24.4
5161
#22
128.00.1
128.1128.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6