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Quarterfinal 3-22018 FIM District Gaylord Event
Red409
4237157.9
3618143.3
6573129.4
Blue231
5525121.7
5183125.9
4376147.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349265100200300400500409231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#4
157.90.2
158.4→158.2
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
red by 10.8
4376
#22
147.20.0
147.2→147.2
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Second
3618
#2
143.30.4
142.0→142.4
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
red by 17.4
5183
#11
125.90.6
125.4→125.9
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Third
6573
#23
129.40.4
130.4→130.0
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
red by 7.8
5525
#12
121.70.1
121.6→121.7
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0