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Quarterfinal 4-22018 FIM District Gaylord Event
Red378
3767157.7
5114172.7
5560137.1
Blue299
6020119.8
5086149.1
5509153.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397279100200500600378299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#5
172.70.4
170.8→171.2
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
red by 19.3
5509
#21
153.40.6
152.8→153.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
Second
3767
#7
157.70.5
155.4→155.8
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
red by 8.6
5086
#10
149.10.5
148.6→149.1
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
Third
5560
#24
137.10.3
135.3→135.7
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6
red by 17.3
6020
#29
119.80.0
119.7→119.8
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5