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Red162
1711150.3
5314127.6
6649107.6
Blue245
5525121.7
6020119.8
5560137.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613100100200400500600700162245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.31.4
134.4135.7
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
red by 13.2
5560
#24
137.10.9
144.2143.3
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6
Second
5314
#20
127.612.4
89.0101.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
red by 5.9
5525
#12
121.78.2
94.4102.7
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
Third
6649
#38
107.69.8
76.386.1
Auto14.7
Teleop81.5
End11.2
blue by 12.2
6020
#29
119.88.9
97.3106.2
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed