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Red372
5534133.6
3618143.3
5114172.7
Blue150
4376147.2
5175123.4
6545111.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334270100150200250300400450500372150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.72.0
151.8153.8
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
red by 25.5
4376
#22
147.22.4
134.0136.4
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Second
143.30.2
129.2129.3
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
red by 19.9
5175
#14
123.412.6
84.697.2
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
Third
133.611.8
102.0113.8
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
red by 22.0
6545
#32
111.69.4
92.2101.6
Auto11.7
Teleop90.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed