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Red102
6087148.8
6074104.3
6561111.4
Blue517
4237157.9
5086149.1
5114172.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753580100200300400500102517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#18
148.80.9
147.4148.3
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
blue by 23.9
172.71.5
150.3151.8
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
6561
#36
111.413.9
93.6107.6
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
blue by 46.5
157.90.4
149.2148.8
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
Third
6074
#37
104.317.1
64.581.7
Auto15.1
Teleop78.4
End10.0
blue by 44.8
5086
#10
149.11.0
134.5135.5
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed