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Red156
5603133.7
2246107.9
717197.3
Blue297
3537136.7
5086149.1
7084114.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213240100400500156297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#35
133.71.7
126.7128.4
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
blue by 15.3
5086
#10
149.11.0
141.2142.2
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
Second
2246
#33
107.91.8
96.598.3
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
blue by 28.7
3537
#13
136.72.1
120.2122.3
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
Third
7171
#40
97.30.3
96.697.0
Auto16.3
Teleop75.2
End2.9
blue by 17.3
7084
#17
114.65.2
107.3112.5
Auto16.1
Teleop93.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed