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Red271
6545111.6
6005119.1
1711150.3
Blue228
6561111.4
5560137.1
3767157.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183590100300400500600271228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.31.2
136.7137.9
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
blue by 7.4
157.72.3
144.5146.8
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
Second
6005
#28
119.11.1
116.9115.8
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
blue by 17.9
5560
#24
137.10.2
142.4142.2
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6
Third
6545
#32
111.61.5
107.5109.0
Auto11.7
Teleop90.7
End7.3
red by 0.1
6561
#36
111.42.0
117.6119.6
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed