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Red198
6074104.3
5534133.6
6582132.2
Blue384
3767157.7
1711150.3
5709110.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413480100200300400500198384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.61.0
125.5126.5
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
blue by 24.1
157.71.2
147.7148.9
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
Second
6582
#16
132.21.1
123.7124.8
Auto21.0
Teleop95.1
End16.0
blue by 18.1
150.31.0
139.4140.5
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
Third
6074
#37
104.33.8
93.397.1
Auto15.1
Teleop78.4
End10.0
blue by 6.6
5709
#39
110.91.2
118.8117.6
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed