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Red180
6573129.4
5714115.6
7084114.6
Blue279
5175123.4
226169.2
6020119.8
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278333100200400500180279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6573
#23
129.42.8
125.1127.9
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
blue by 39.8
226
#6
169.21.2
161.4162.6
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
Second
5714
#26
115.64.0
111.4115.4
Auto13.6
Teleop87.5
End17.0
blue by 7.8
5175
#14
123.42.1
116.8118.9
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
Third
7084
#17
114.60.1
115.8115.8
Auto16.1
Teleop93.7
End3.7
blue by 5.2
6020
#29
119.81.8
112.8114.6
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed