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Red261
5509153.4
5525121.7
2246107.9
Blue265
4237157.9
7172106.3
4376147.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244349100200300400500261265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#21
153.43.8
142.2146.1
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
blue by 4.5
157.91.8
155.7157.5
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
Second
5525
#12
121.72.2
114.9117.1
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
blue by 25.5
4376
#22
147.21.6
143.3144.9
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Third
2246
#33
107.93.4
101.4104.8
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
red by 1.7
7172
#31
106.31.1
107.2108.3
Auto12.3
Teleop86.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed