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Red193
6561111.4
6005119.1
4398128.2
Blue350
5314127.6
7084114.6
5534133.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267295100200400500600193350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#15
128.20.2
128.3128.2
Auto13.5
Teleop97.9
End17.5
blue by 5.4
133.60.4
126.5127.0
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
Second
6005
#28
119.11.3
115.5116.8
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
blue by 8.5
5314
#20
127.61.3
115.5116.7
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
Third
6561
#36
111.41.4
117.0115.6
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
blue by 3.2
7084
#17
114.61.1
115.8114.6
Auto16.1
Teleop93.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed