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Red291
6020119.8
6561111.4
5086149.1
Blue359
226169.2
5534133.6
5509153.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254393100200300500600291359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#10
149.10.8
144.8145.5
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
blue by 20.1
226
#6
169.20.7
165.4166.1
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
Second
6020
#29
119.81.5
116.4117.8
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5
blue by 33.6
5509
#21
153.41.0
148.9149.9
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
Third
6561
#36
111.41.8
114.4112.6
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
blue by 22.1
133.61.7
129.0130.8
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed