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Red202
5709110.9
3537136.7
5314127.6
Blue352
1896117.2
6087148.8
5114172.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633620100200300400500600202352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#13
136.71.3
133.6135.0
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
blue by 36.0
172.70.9
167.5168.4
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
5314
#20
127.62.6
119.3121.9
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
blue by 21.2
6087
#18
148.80.3
150.3150.0
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
Third
5709
#39
110.92.3
116.2113.9
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
blue by 6.3
1896
#19
117.20.4
117.3117.7
Auto16.6
Teleop92.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed