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Red285
226169.2
5603133.7
4376147.2
Blue297
862191.3
6005119.1
5234178.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290413100200500600700285297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#6
169.20.5
166.1166.6
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
blue by 22.1
862
#3
191.31.2
189.0190.2
Auto24.8
Teleop146.6
End20.2
Second
4376
#22
147.20.3
146.8147.2
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
blue by 31.6
178.72.0
175.7177.7
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
Third
5603
#35
133.70.3
132.5132.7
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
red by 14.6
6005
#28
119.10.5
118.8119.2
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed