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Red290
5183125.9
5086149.1
6556109.9
Blue343
6561111.4
1896117.2
862191.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743440100200400500600700290343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#10
149.11.6
146.4148.0
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
blue by 42.2
862
#3
191.30.6
190.2190.8
Auto24.8
Teleop146.6
End20.2
Second
5183
#11
125.91.9
122.8124.7
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
red by 8.7
1896
#19
117.20.7
117.9117.2
Auto16.6
Teleop92.3
End8.2
Third
6556
#30
109.90.4
109.6109.9
Auto18.2
Teleop82.5
End9.6
blue by 1.5
6561
#36
111.40.3
111.7111.4
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed