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Red222
724498.5
5175123.4
5603133.7
Blue423
1711150.3
226169.2
5314127.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2354010100200300500600700222423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#35
133.70.3
133.0133.4
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
blue by 35.5
226
#6
169.20.4
167.5167.8
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
Second
5175
#14
123.40.5
122.3122.9
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
blue by 26.9
150.30.5
148.2148.7
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
Third
7244
#34
98.50.1
98.398.4
Auto13.7
Teleop77.1
End8.4
blue by 29.1
5314
#20
127.60.5
125.5126.0
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3