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Red242
4237157.9
3618143.3
6573129.4
Blue335
3767157.7
5114172.7
5560137.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793650100200400500600700242335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.90.1
158.2158.0
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
blue by 14.8
172.70.4
171.2171.5
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
143.30.4
142.4142.9
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
blue by 14.4
157.70.5
155.8156.3
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
Third
6573
#23
129.40.3
130.0129.7
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
blue by 7.6
5560
#24
137.10.3
135.7136.0
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6