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Red196
4237157.9
3618143.3
6573129.4
Blue379
3767157.7
5114172.7
5560137.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277367100200400500600196379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.90.1
158.0157.9
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
blue by 14.8
172.70.4
171.5171.9
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
143.30.4
142.9143.3
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
blue by 14.4
157.70.4
156.3156.8
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
Third
6573
#23
129.40.3
129.7129.4
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
blue by 7.6
5560
#24
137.10.3
136.0136.3
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6