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Red411
862167.6
4405169.0
5523117.6
Blue265
123122.4
6852142.0
2620111.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381232100200300500600411265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.1
167.5167.6
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
red by 27.0
6852
#13
142.00.0
142.0142.0
Auto16.9
Teleop107.7
End17.9
Second
862
#6
167.60.7
162.7163.5
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
red by 45.2
123
#32
122.40.3
121.7122.0
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
Third
5523
#17
117.60.1
116.8116.7
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 6.3
2620
#25
111.20.1
111.4111.3
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9